{"id":1631,"date":"2024-07-18T07:42:39","date_gmt":"2024-07-18T11:42:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/?p=1631"},"modified":"2024-07-18T07:42:39","modified_gmt":"2024-07-18T11:42:39","slug":"modeling-fuzzy-fidelity-using-microsimulation-to-explore-age-period-and-cohort-effects-in-secularization","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/modeling-fuzzy-fidelity-using-microsimulation-to-explore-age-period-and-cohort-effects-in-secularization\/","title":{"rendered":"Modeling Fuzzy Fidelity: Using Microsimulation to Explore Age, Period, and Cohort Effects in Secularization"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fuzzy-Fidelity.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"512\" src=\"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fuzzy-Fidelity-1024x512.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1632\" srcset=\"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fuzzy-Fidelity-1024x512.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fuzzy-Fidelity-300x150.jpg 300w, https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fuzzy-Fidelity-768x384.jpg 768w, https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fuzzy-Fidelity-1536x768.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fuzzy-Fidelity-2048x1024.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/Fuzzy-Fidelity-624x312.jpg 624w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s a link to the <a href=\"https:\/\/brill-com.ezproxy.bu.edu\/view\/journals\/jrd\/9\/1-2\/article-p111_3.xml\">full article<\/a>; the abstract follows below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This article presents a microsimulation that explores age, period, and cohort effects in the decline of religiosity in contemporary societies. The model implements a well-known and previously empirically validated theory of secularization that highlights the role of \u201cfuzzy fidelity,\u201d i.e., the percentage of a population whose religiosity is moderate (Voas 2009). Validation of the model involved comparing its simulation results to shifts in religiosity over 9 waves of the European Social Survey. Simulation experiments suggest that a cohort effect, based on weakened transmission of religiosity as a function of the social environment, appears to be the best explanation for secularization in the societies studied, both for the population as a whole and for the proportions of religious, fuzzy, and secular people.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here&#8217;s a link to the full article; the abstract follows below. This article presents a microsimulation that explores age, period, and cohort effects in the decline of religiosity in contemporary societies. The model implements a well-known and previously empirically validated theory of secularization that highlights the role of \u201cfuzzy fidelity,\u201d i.e., the percentage of a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1631","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-events-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1631","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1631"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1631\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1633,"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1631\/revisions\/1633"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wesleywildman.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}